PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

CryptoGerm

0x807ccea75c5f34b63728794f42fde9cb3ac6f1e3

Realised P&L
$-4.61
Volume
$425.9k
Markets traded
162
Open portfolio
$165.92

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded162
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration71.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1680.155$15.50$1.31
WHOOP IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1700.135$14.45$3.75
Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1370.135$13.50$0.15
Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1250.125$12.98+$0.03
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? · Yes0.0870.075$11.25$1.75
Glean IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1020.085$11.07$2.22
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1290.125$10.95$0.35
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1110.125$10.00+$1.11
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1150.100$10.00$1.50
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1800.175$9.72$0.28
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0840.085$9.15+$0.10
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1400.125$6.07$0.71
ByteDance IPO before 2027? · Yes0.0700.065$5.73$0.44
Vanta IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1170.095$5.66$1.32
Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026? · Yes0.0800.455$4.54+$3.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 15:01Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?BUY0.12$6.00
07-30 18:26Mistral AI IPO before 2027?SELL0.13$2.79
07-29 17:22Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?BUY0.0899999599$2.00
07-29 17:21Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?BUY0.12$3.00
07-28 16:16Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?SELL0.11$8.89
07-28 16:16Mistral AI IPO before 2027?SELL0.13$1.30
07-25 21:36Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?BUY0.0899999599$2.00
07-25 21:36Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?BUY0.0899999599$2.00
07-25 21:34Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day?SELL0.15$15.00
07-23 08:03Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?SELL0.3$0.07
07-23 08:03Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?BUY0.1$5.00
07-21 09:47Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day?SELL0.16$8.00
07-21 09:47Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?SELL0.07$3.15
07-20 14:35Mistral AI IPO before 2027?BUY0.15$7.50
07-20 14:35Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day?SELL0.17$9.88