0x810239db5f65A0A0320ef202d047637931337081-1770656423176
0x810239db5f65a0a0320ef202d047637931337081
- Realised P&L
- $-164.98
- Volume
- $11.2k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $69.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? · Yes | 0.187 | 0.081 | $69.17 | −$90.83 |
| Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$172.82 |
| Will Trump say "Migrant Crime" in February? · Yes | 0.231 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$307.53at 0.235Government shutdown on Saturday?
- +$-0.01at 0.840Government shutdown on Saturday?
- +$-8.84at 0.343Will Trump say "Major Non-NATO Ally" in February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-19 08:38 | Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.0189865225 | $117.83 |
| 02-18 20:32 | Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.0247701332 | $5.00 |
| 02-18 19:59 | Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.0262044334 | $50.00 |
| 02-18 17:34 | Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | BUY | 0.1789853322 | $100.00 |
| 02-16 07:32 | Will Trump say "Migrant Crime" in February? | BUY | 0.1626780186 | $50.00 |
| 02-13 23:51 | Will Trump say "Migrant Crime" in February? | BUY | 0.2773543158 | $100.00 |
| 02-13 21:08 | Government shutdown on Saturday? | SELL | 0.863 | $422.82 |
| 02-11 21:49 | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BUY | 0.1699998983 | $1.22 |
| 02-11 21:49 | Government shutdown on Saturday? | SELL | 0.83 | $1.23 |
| 02-11 21:49 | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BUY | 0.8399999194 | $1.25 |
| 02-11 21:49 | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BUY | 0.1699999918 | $14.07 |
| 02-11 21:48 | Will Trump say "Major Non-NATO Ally" in February? | SELL | 0.2178186727 | $15.33 |
| 02-09 17:49 | Will Trump say "Major Non-NATO Ally" in February? | BUY | 0.3434646455 | $24.17 |
| 02-09 17:49 | Will Trump say "Migrant Crime" in February? | BUY | 0.2535180472 | $50.00 |
| 02-09 17:34 | Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | BUY | 0.2032258039 | $60.00 |