PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Toomuchwinning1

0x81924e30a4fe9e1eb715ade61296be6fa74c0664

Realised P&L
$-2.5k
Volume
$1.15M
Markets traded
1,508
Open portfolio
$6.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,508
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · Yes0.0050.006$2.40+$0.40
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.85$0.85
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · No0.0010.001$0.50$0.50
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m? · No0.0270.001$0.49$12.69
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 350m? · Yes0.0090.001$0.35$6.15
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 280m and 290m? · Yes0.0010.001$0.34$0.34
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 290m and 300m? · Yes0.0020.001$0.28$0.85
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be at least 152m? · No0.1470.003$0.26$15.07
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · No0.0020.001$0.26$0.76
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 310m? · Yes0.0020.001$0.25$0.75
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? · No0.0040.001$0.24$1.95
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 310m and 320m? · Yes0.0080.001$0.14$2.06
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0720.042$0.09$0.07
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m? · Yes0.2160.005$0.08$3.32
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m? · Yes0.0010.001$0.03$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 07:53Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.005$2.00
08-02 19:36Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETBUY0.2099998677$1.00
08-02 19:33Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETBUY0.3099998295$1.00
08-02 19:31Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETBUY0.5299998781$1.00
08-02 19:30Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETBUY0.5599998432$1.00
08-02 19:28Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETBUY0.5599998432$1.00
08-02 19:27Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETBUY0.5899998466$1.00
08-02 19:24Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by July 31, 2026?BUY0.072$0.16
08-02 19:23Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?BUY0.001$1.20
08-02 19:17Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
08-02 19:17Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?BUY0.001$1.70
08-02 02:29Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?BUY0.004$1.00
08-02 01:39Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETBUY0.1399998824$1.00
08-02 01:38Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?BUY0.005$1.20
08-02 01:34Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 350m?BUY0.0322871021$1.00