PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x820b2612a074a6C3e85fFB968e1ad18F120d4638-1729183570853

0x820b2612a074a6c3e85ffb968e1ad18f120d4638

Realised P&L
$-451.97
Volume
$11.3k
Markets traded
60
Open portfolio
$64.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded60
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.1480.278$9.39+$4.39
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0930.146$7.84+$2.84
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0230.030$6.63+$1.63
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2700.335$6.20+$1.20
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1200.135$5.62+$0.62
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4220.460$5.44+$0.44
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1370.135$4.94$0.06
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.1700.165$4.85$0.15
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2630.192$3.64$1.36
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0750.128$1.70+$0.70
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0620.087$1.41+$0.41
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0370.051$1.38+$0.38
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0640.086$1.34+$0.34
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0420.049$1.15+$0.15
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? · No0.8600.935$1.09+$0.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-26 01:13Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?BUY0.1699999759$5.00
03-26 01:12Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.2699999681$5.00
03-26 01:09Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.0729999331$1.00
03-26 01:09Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.1199999808$5.00
03-26 01:08Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.1365374113$5.00
03-02 15:19Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.4099999836$5.00
03-01 04:43Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.529999965$5.00
03-01 04:43Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.5299999899$10.00
02-27 14:00Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0149999854$1.00
02-27 14:00Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0419999612$1.00
02-27 14:00Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0370000014$1.00
02-27 13:59H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.859999914$1.00
02-27 13:59H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
02-27 13:57Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0619999428$1.00
02-27 13:57Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0749999325$1.00