Boardwalk
0x82147e52ff6f18d3d55d98f59f260ee5be5aef72
- Realised P&L
- $-12.8k
- Volume
- $1.05M
- Markets traded
- 1,091
- Open portfolio
- $198.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,091
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.007 | $175.44 | −$239.26 |
| Will Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.525 | $23.50 | +$19.47 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April? · No | 0.098 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$652.19 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.92 |
| Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 10m? · Yes | 0.117 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.73 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? · Yes | 0.087 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$986.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.0kat 0.283Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$3.7kat 0.510Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)
- +$2.8kat 0.403Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?
- +$2.5kat 0.769Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?
- +$1.9kat 0.520Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 45.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-17 15:14 | Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 10m? | BUY | 0.1166614131 | $8.73 |
| 04-14 19:41 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | BUY | 0.003 | $23.92 |
| 04-14 19:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April? | SELL | 0.12 | $6.14 |
| 04-14 19:41 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.009 | $18.00 |
| 04-14 16:34 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | SELL | 0.07 | $263.41 |
| 04-14 16:31 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | SELL | 0.0010180857 | $41.39 |
| 04-14 16:31 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | SELL | 0.015 | $290.53 |
| 04-13 02:13 | Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.0896417951 | $13.26 |
| 04-12 22:28 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | BUY | 0.019 | $16.04 |
| 04-12 20:35 | Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.0869238444 | $28.23 |
| 04-12 20:34 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | SELL | 0.11 | $330.00 |
| 04-12 20:29 | Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | SELL | 0.0518057239 | $194.61 |
| 04-12 20:25 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | SELL | 0.11 | $352.00 |
| 04-12 18:17 | Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.105 | $4.00 |
| 04-12 18:09 | Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.168999041 | $354.22 |