PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

vbm

0x8304ada4e1747a1d188d7233b5c047dfce42f086

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$523.5k
Markets traded
3,423
Open portfolio
$6.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,423
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? · No0.6590.925$434.75+$125.15
US x China Military clash before 2027? · No0.8970.957$286.94+$17.95
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8680.875$262.50+$2.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9030.945$245.70+$10.90
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8840.960$238.64+$18.78
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.8350.925$212.75+$20.65
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · No0.7450.895$198.51+$33.35
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? · No0.8460.935$177.65+$16.85
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? · No0.7640.915$173.84+$28.65
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.9150.962$153.84+$7.44
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.6610.695$146.41+$7.10
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? · No0.8570.921$129.01+$9.05
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.9140.955$121.21+$5.21
RFK Jr. Out by December 31? · No0.4510.660$117.28+$37.17
Will Perplexity AI announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.8580.890$113.23+$4.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 01:14New York Yankees vs. Chicago CubsBUY0.73$7.30
08-02 01:13Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?BUY0.93$9.30
08-02 01:11Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $80B by August 31?BUY0.96$28.79
08-02 01:10Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.64$3.20
08-02 01:10Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.88$35.20
08-02 01:09Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.78$15.60
08-02 01:09Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.71$7.10
08-02 01:09Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.78$39.00
07-31 16:16Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.09$1.80
07-30 16:54Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.67$13.40
07-30 16:54Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.94$18.79
07-30 16:53Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?BUY0.8$24.00
07-30 16:52Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31?BUY0.993$29.79
07-30 16:43Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?SELL0.988$118.56
07-30 16:43Will Russia enter Serhiivka by July 31?SELL0.992$9.92