baishu
0x831597f1f6820789e2c0b3097275a5d7aed255cf
- Realised P&L
- $7.29
- Volume
- $29.0k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $133.72
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? · Yes | 0.414 | 0.425 | $108.38 | +$2.81 |
| Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.195 | $25.35 | +$0.65 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$367.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$301.51at 0.290Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?
- +$123.00at 0.800Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?
- +$49.80at 0.585Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$-108.80at 0.740Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 06:51 | Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | SELL | 0.514 | $15.42 |
| 07-10 06:30 | Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | SELL | 0.515 | $12.88 |
| 07-06 03:49 | Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $11.40 |
| 04-16 06:16 | Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $32.40 |
| 04-16 03:53 | Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.585 | $38.02 |
| 12-19 09:02 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West? | SELL | 0.54 | $108.00 |
| 12-19 09:01 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West? | SELL | 0.54 | $54.00 |
| 12-19 08:51 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West? | SELL | 0.54 | $135.00 |
| 11-12 05:56 | Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | SELL | 0.724 | $4.9k |
| 11-11 08:56 | Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | BUY | 0.74 | $5.0k |
| 11-11 06:43 | Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025? | SELL | 0.82 | $5.0k |
| 11-11 03:30 | Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.9k |