MrNoItAll
0x836ffd95ef3cf3c7987612279b2152b11ce6906e
- Realised P&L
- $47.3k
- Volume
- $2.21M
- Markets traded
- 370
- Open portfolio
- $214.2k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded370
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.2kat 0.961Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
- +$4.0kat 0.948Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
- +$4.0kat 0.888Iran leadership change by June 30?
- +$2.6kat 0.887Iran leadership change by April 30?
- +$2.3kat 0.904Iran leadership change by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 19:25 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.971 | $97.10 |
| 08-02 19:25 | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.971 | $77.56 |
| 08-02 12:13 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.97 | $63.05 |
| 08-02 12:12 | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.97 | $9.75 |
| 08-02 09:43 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.976 | $1.2k |
| 08-02 09:11 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.9841693031 | $251.36 |
| 08-02 09:11 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.975 | $666.89 |
| 08-02 08:21 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.795 | $47.54 |
| 08-02 08:14 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.9899508202 | $333.14 |
| 08-02 08:13 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | BUY | 0.85 | $483.65 |
| 08-02 07:23 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.9649515532 | $161.53 |
| 08-02 07:05 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.9640165474 | $580.83 |
| 08-02 06:45 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.972 | $159.59 |
| 08-02 06:44 | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.9758939824 | $920.50 |
| 08-02 06:15 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.971 | $387.53 |