PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

IlIlllIIIIllllIlIlllllIlIIIllllI

0x83741e1105434080431b598ed6b4e90d8bd99149

Realised P&L
$-7.8k
Volume
$1.76M
Markets traded
680
Open portfolio
$11.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded680
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.7340.955$4.3k+$995.24
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.6070.925$2.0k+$689.39
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.5960.685$1.7k+$225.07
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? · No0.9111.000$1.5k+$131.25
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? · No0.9100.998$327.18+$28.70
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? · No0.5201.000$289.00+$138.72
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? · No0.7851.000$229.19+$49.24
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.7400.935$187.00+$39.00
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? · Yes0.5860.806$146.43+$40.05
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? · Yes0.7300.720$130.32$1.81
Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08? · Yes0.4711.000$128.46+$67.89
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? · Yes0.3150.115$122.29$212.93
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? · No0.2700.205$89.79$28.47
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · No0.9590.925$87.43$3.20
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? · Yes0.5930.135$85.11$288.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-03 12:21Will Israel strike Gaza on February 3, 2026?BUY0.2$39.40
02-03 08:49Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat?BUY0.31$1.70
02-03 05:45Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026?BUY0.19$13.11
02-02 23:15US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?BUY0.41$3.42
02-02 15:45US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? BUY0.12$2.62
02-02 10:20Will People’s Party (PPLE) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?BUY0.73$14.60
02-02 05:06Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Feb 28?BUY0.25$5.00
02-02 02:16Will Progressive run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?BUY0.91$33.67
02-02 01:39Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Golden State Warriors?BUY0.87$10.17
02-01 19:44Don Lemon charges dropped?BUY0.53$77.88
02-01 15:29Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?BUY0.25$18.75
02-01 15:16Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?BUY0.37$16.28
02-01 15:16Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?BUY0.38$41.80
02-01 06:42Will People’s Party (PPLE) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?BUY0.72$10.74
02-01 06:42Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?BUY0.5291534$264.58