PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x83D72b8fAE2f51934c3B71d9f10F137d88c2E8bA-1770866863721

0x83d72b8fae2f51934c3b71d9f10f137d88c2e8ba

Realised P&L
$7.4k
Volume
$49.1k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$380.25

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar15.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? · Yes0.2310.140$154.53$100.47
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · Yes0.2610.105$80.35$119.65
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? · Yes0.1020.055$64.94$55.06
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? · No0.4230.125$59.09$140.91
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0570.036$19.85$11.15
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · No0.1500.003$1.50$88.50
US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yes0.1610.000$0.00$100.00
Israel closes its airspace by July 31? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00$31.00
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13? · Yes0.7800.000$0.00$200.00
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24? · Yes0.2930.000$0.00$210.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July? · Yes0.0850.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 21:34Iran full airspace closure by August 15?BUY0.2888446199$100.00
07-31 21:32Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?BUY0.101636501$120.00
07-31 21:30Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.2613671023$200.00
07-31 21:29Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.4230782283$200.00
07-29 02:18Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.1504701038$90.00
07-29 02:12Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.0570218528$31.00
07-29 02:10Iran full airspace closure by August 15?BUY0.204602197$155.00
07-29 02:09Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0570000001$31.00
07-28 01:21Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?SELL0.004$4.91
07-28 01:21Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?SELL0.011$7.97
07-28 01:19Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?SELL0.046$29.68
07-28 01:19Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?SELL0.035$25.09
07-28 01:18Israel closes its airspace by July 31?SELL0.0363477417$26.97
07-28 01:17Iran full airspace closure by July 31?SELL0.0359356151$29.23
07-28 01:16Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?SELL0.0525363922$92.61