kegli
0x83e055eb6e91fdbd850aff56ad2ac0f50cb2bbe7
- Realised P&L
- $13.8k
- Volume
- $461.1k
- Markets traded
- 114
- Open portfolio
- $16.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded114
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.6kat 0.051Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.5kat 0.350Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13?
- +$6.0kat 0.500Ethereum Up or Down on June 10?
- +$4.2kat 0.245Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9?
- +$3.7kat 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 23:22 | Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.78 |
| 07-31 23:21 | Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Hilal? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.26 |
| 07-31 23:21 | Will Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.78 |
| 07-30 20:51 | Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.013 | $22.32 |
| 07-29 13:47 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.1 | $23.85 |
| 07-27 00:52 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.084 | $1.01 |
| 07-25 12:19 | UFC Fight Night: Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.52 | $52.00 |
| 07-25 12:14 | UFC Fight Night: Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.52 | $52.00 |
| 07-20 17:21 | Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.005 | $38.31 |
| 07-20 13:27 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.07 | $78.38 |
| 07-19 21:38 | Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.01 |
| 07-16 20:29 | Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.003 | $18.22 |
| 07-15 20:53 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.1k |
| 07-15 20:53 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.339 | $50.42 |
| 07-15 16:13 | Will Feyenoord win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.10 |