0x8508f4b41F9C6D636043B2c058acaAc79Ea99fda-1765369540606
0x8508f4b41f9c6d636043b2c058acaac79ea99fda
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $347.9k
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $755.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration50.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$455.57at 0.231Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?
- +$132.89at 0.249Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
- +$61.43at 0.140Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?
- +$52.47at 0.250Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
- +$49.60at 0.075Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 20:10 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.25 | $12.25 |
| 07-24 20:06 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.057 | $11.30 |
| 07-24 20:06 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.057 | $20.31 |
| 07-24 20:06 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.057 | $20.84 |
| 07-24 20:06 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.057 | $21.86 |
| 07-24 20:06 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.057 | $23.39 |
| 07-19 15:14 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.82 |
| 07-18 20:06 | Exact Score: France 0 - 0 England? | BUY | 0.0389999808 | $1.90 |
| 07-18 20:05 | Exact Score: France 0 - 0 England? | BUY | 0.0390000004 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 17:55 | Lionel Messi: 2+ goals | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 17:54 | Lionel Messi: 3+ goals | SELL | 0.017 | $2.68 |
| 07-18 17:10 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.80 |
| 07-18 17:10 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina? | SELL | 0.08 | $8.89 |
| 07-18 17:09 | Lionel Messi: 3+ goals | BUY | 0.0189999939 | $3.00 |
| 07-18 17:09 | Lionel Messi: 2+ goals | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |