PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x8508f4b41F9C6D636043B2c058acaAc79Ea99fda-1765369540606

0x8508f4b41f9c6d636043b2c058acaac79ea99fda

Realised P&L
$-2.4k
Volume
$347.9k
Markets traded
115
Open portfolio
$755.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded115
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration50.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes0.0670.054$755.83$178.60
Trump out as President by July 31? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$16.21
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$20.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00$7.50
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026? · No0.0220.000$0.00$14.00
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-14? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$1.00
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026? · No0.0630.000$0.00$1.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? · Yes0.1280.000$0.00$30.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$5.75
Exact Score: England 1 - 3 Argentina? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00$1.00
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31? · No0.0540.000$0.00$1.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$10.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1630.000$0.00$55.80
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$8.82
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Morocco? · Yes0.1260.000$0.00$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-24 20:10Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.25$12.25
07-24 20:06Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.057$11.30
07-24 20:06Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.057$20.31
07-24 20:06Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.057$20.84
07-24 20:06Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.057$21.86
07-24 20:06Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.057$23.39
07-19 15:14Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.08$8.82
07-18 20:06Exact Score: France 0 - 0 England?BUY0.0389999808$1.90
07-18 20:05Exact Score: France 0 - 0 England?BUY0.0390000004$5.00
07-18 17:55Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsBUY0.08$5.00
07-18 17:54Lionel Messi: 3+ goalsSELL0.017$2.68
07-18 17:10Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.16$2.80
07-18 17:10Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?SELL0.08$8.89
07-18 17:09Lionel Messi: 3+ goalsBUY0.0189999939$3.00
07-18 17:09Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsBUY0.08$5.00