products
0x8575467a6743c81ef0a8d06acc76e99b454a87fe
- Realised P&L
- $-34.2k
- Volume
- $8.81M
- Markets traded
- 6,056
- Open portfolio
- $14.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,056
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration41.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.0kat 0.026Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?
- +$29.8kat 0.026Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
- +$29.4kat 0.026Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?
- +$28.5kat 0.886Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
- +$28.2kat 0.026Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 15:39 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.96 | $7.7k |
| 07-09 15:36 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.8k |
| 07-09 15:36 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $1.2k |
| 07-09 15:34 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | SELL | 0.995 | $12.9k |
| 07-02 21:32 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY | 0.94 | $940.00 |
| 07-02 13:53 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY | 0.93 | $1.9k |
| 07-02 13:51 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | SELL | 0.964 | $420.00 |
| 07-02 13:50 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $6.93 |
| 07-02 13:47 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.3k |
| 06-28 18:14 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.9569999993 | $500.00 |
| 06-28 18:12 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.9569999994 | $1000.00 |
| 06-25 13:00 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY | 0.996 | $10.0k |
| 06-21 01:37 | Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 06-21 01:28 | Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 2 Curaçao? | BUY | 0.98 | $177.38 |
| 06-21 00:26 | Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 1 Curaçao? | BUY | 0.929 | $10.22 |