PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

b4rbed

0x85b5359eb2ede6aa8c9c9b0ea01453da667c3c42

Realised P&L
$-349.04
Volume
$4.4k
Markets traded
123
Open portfolio
$67.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded123
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.6570.865$8.75+$2.10
Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.9000.997$5.41+$0.52
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.2100.920$4.38+$3.38
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.5830.985$3.42+$1.39
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.5700.635$3.32+$0.34
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? · Yes0.5300.565$3.23+$0.20
Will SpaceXAI be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? · No0.8500.695$2.10$0.47
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.3130.625$2.06+$1.03
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes0.1700.575$1.93+$1.36
Next Kimi K model released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.8300.958$1.72+$0.23
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? · No0.3200.265$1.66$0.34
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.5700.140$1.64$5.04
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.4100.665$1.62+$0.62
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on August 31, 2026? · Yes0.3600.570$1.58+$0.58
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.3400.475$1.40+$0.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 08:53Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?BUY0.52999993$3.03
08-03 07:02Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?SELL0.59$1.14
08-03 06:59Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?SELL0.46$1.19
08-03 06:02Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
08-02 18:16Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?SELL0.87$1.48
08-02 16:07Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.5699999369$2.98
08-02 15:39Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?SELL0.63$0.91
08-02 15:27Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?SELL0.72$2.22
08-02 14:05Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?SELL0.83$1.05
08-02 06:56Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?SELL0.51$1.29
08-01 06:46Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.0289999724$1.00
08-01 04:56Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.6599999764$2.24
07-31 17:55Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?SELL0.931$1.53
07-31 14:08Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?SELL0.478$0.68
07-31 14:08Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?SELL0.472$0.67