PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

RepTrump

0x863134d00841b2e200492805a01e1e2f5defaa53

Realised P&L
$7.53M
Volume
$13.98M
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$0.00

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar53.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration53.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-24 05:34Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.598$99.7k
10-23 09:18Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?BUY0.405$324.01
10-23 09:15Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?BUY0.401$2.4k
10-23 09:13Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?BUY0.3983952365$2.6k
10-23 08:20Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?BUY0.4097891633$20.6k
10-23 06:06Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?BUY0.4019582116$11.0k
10-23 06:06Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?BUY0.4019999533$5.8k
10-23 06:05Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?BUY0.3997836807$7.7k
10-23 06:02Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?BUY0.398$841.81
10-23 06:00Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?BUY0.398$1.1k
10-23 05:56Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?BUY0.393$1.7k
10-22 22:20Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?BUY0.417$8.34
10-22 21:56Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?BUY0.419$5.0k
10-22 21:56Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?BUY0.418$1.4k
10-22 21:49Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?BUY0.4179937787$2.3k