RepTrump
0x863134d00841b2e200492805a01e1e2f5defaa53
- Realised P&L
- $7.53M
- Volume
- $13.98M
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar53.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.02Mat 0.382Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$1.61Mat 0.403Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
- +$1.51Mat 0.621Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$216.0kat 0.374Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?
- +$127.3kat 0.613Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-24 05:34 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.598 | $99.7k |
| 10-23 09:18 | Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | BUY | 0.405 | $324.01 |
| 10-23 09:15 | Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | BUY | 0.401 | $2.4k |
| 10-23 09:13 | Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | BUY | 0.3983952365 | $2.6k |
| 10-23 08:20 | Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | BUY | 0.4097891633 | $20.6k |
| 10-23 06:06 | Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | BUY | 0.4019582116 | $11.0k |
| 10-23 06:06 | Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.4019999533 | $5.8k |
| 10-23 06:05 | Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.3997836807 | $7.7k |
| 10-23 06:02 | Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.398 | $841.81 |
| 10-23 06:00 | Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.398 | $1.1k |
| 10-23 05:56 | Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.393 | $1.7k |
| 10-22 22:20 | Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | BUY | 0.417 | $8.34 |
| 10-22 21:56 | Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.419 | $5.0k |
| 10-22 21:56 | Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.418 | $1.4k |
| 10-22 21:49 | Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | BUY | 0.4179937787 | $2.3k |