ilona29
0x86500083aededa4bf6689875f82b0b846d50b8ba
- Realised P&L
- $15.6k
- Volume
- $211.8k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $887.97
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala · Jessica Pegula | 0.620 | 0.815 | $814.90 | +$194.90 |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? · Yes | 0.942 | 0.982 | $49.27 | +$1.98 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.199 | 0.118 | $23.70 | −$16.00 |
| Timberwolves vs. Pacers · Pacers | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$313.60 |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans · Jazz | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.5k |
| Bulls vs. Wizards · Wizards | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.1k |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$450.00 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners · Minnesota Twins | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.1kat 0.230Rockets vs. Bulls
- +$6.1kat 0.425Will Sweden win on 2026-03-26?
- +$5.1kat 0.660Hawks vs. Celtics
- +$4.2kat 0.470Knicks vs. Hawks
- +$3.7kat 0.520Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 15:56 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala | BUY | 0.62 | $620.00 |
| 08-02 12:59 | Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.45 | $450.00 |
| 07-13 16:58 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.942 | $47.29 |
| 07-08 21:53 | Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.934 | $44.26 |
| 06-23 14:28 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.928 | $41.08 |
| 05-28 21:23 | Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY | 0.95 | $39.05 |
| 03-29 00:06 | Bulls vs. Grizzlies | BUY | 0.65 | $4.7k |
| 03-27 02:40 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.9945926921 | $259.13 |
| 03-26 21:35 | Ukraine vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.9512654746 | $13.83 |
| 03-26 19:04 | Will Albania win on 2026-03-26? | BUY | 0.86 | $22.36 |
| 03-24 21:50 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | BUY | 0.07 | $20.65 |
| 03-24 00:04 | Rockets vs. Bulls | BUY | 0.23 | $52.44 |
| 03-23 23:59 | Rockets vs. Bulls | BUY | 0.23 | $8.05 |
| 02-13 04:47 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $46.85 |
| 12-17 15:35 | Maduro out in 2025? | BUY | 0.959 | $44.81 |