PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x86A53F577997ef5FAdeb3930Fad30d7d70cEd11A-1765947078598

0x86a53f577997ef5fadeb3930fad30d7d70ced11a

Realised P&L
$2.7k
Volume
$175.5k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$314.82

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration61.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0310.024$223.93$76.07
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? · Yes0.1210.022$90.89$409.11
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$100.00
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.1480.000$0.00$77.97
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party? · No0.1600.000$0.00$500.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-04 23:31Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.031483084$300.00
04-04 05:00US forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL0.81$12.7k
04-04 04:15US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.85$13.3k
04-03 23:56US forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL0.85$5.7k
04-03 23:56US forces enter Iran by December 31?SELL0.89$7.6k
04-02 02:30US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.6991884382$6.0k
04-02 02:30US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.6$4.0k
04-02 02:29US forces enter Iran by December 31?SELL0.308166845$4.2k
03-31 22:08US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.3490220052$1000.00
03-31 12:22US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.2799999999$3.0k
03-31 12:18US forces enter Iran by December 31?SELL0.72$9.8k
03-25 11:30US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.6675280201$3.7k
03-25 11:30Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?SELL0.9260454148$3.7k
03-25 11:29US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.6464504296$4.3k
03-16 10:02Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.16$470.62
Trader 0x86A53F577997ef5FAdeb3930Fad30d7d70cEd11A-1765947078598 · PolyBot