fortuneking
0x86c878cde72660ec52f5e6f0f0438b76de8fc867
- Realised P&L
- $165.1k
- Volume
- $3.58M
- Markets traded
- 2,324
- Open portfolio
- $3.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded2,324
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leones Futbol Club vs. Barcelona SC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.710 | 1.000 | $2.8k | +$823.74 |
| Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.740 | 1.000 | $363.67 | +$94.42 |
| SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense: SC Corinthians Paulista O/U 5.5 Corners · Under | 0.530 | 0.505 | $38.33 | −$1.90 |
| Exact Score: Club Nacional de Football 2 - 1 CA Progreso? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.995 | $18.25 | +$4.49 |
| CF América vs. Club Santos Laguna: Club Santos Laguna O/U 0.5 · Under | 0.490 | 0.575 | $6.45 | +$0.95 |
| Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner · Zero Tenacity | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.1kat 0.457Cabo Verde vs. Bermuda: O/U 4.5
- +$8.7kat 0.559Will Union Bordeaux Begles win?
- +$8.1kat 0.327Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
- +$6.5kat 0.306Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche
- +$6.4kat 0.0101. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: Draw at halftime?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 00:20 | CF América vs. Club Santos Laguna: Club Santos Laguna O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $5.49 |
| 08-02 23:19 | Exact Score: Club Nacional de Football 2 - 1 CA Progreso? | BUY | 0.75 | $13.75 |
| 08-02 23:12 | Leones Futbol Club vs. Barcelona SC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.71 | $2.0k |
| 08-02 21:43 | Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.74 | $264.25 |
| 08-02 10:51 | Jeonnam Dragons vs. Paju Frontier FC: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.1 | $82.82 |
| 08-02 01:12 | Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.17 | $339.33 |
| 08-02 01:12 | Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.1932619364 | $37.81 |
| 08-02 00:54 | Philadelphia Union vs. Atlanta United FC: Atlanta United FC O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.72 | $1.5k |
| 08-02 00:39 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.19 | $950.00 |
| 08-02 00:01 | Charleston Battery vs. Brooklyn FC: Charleston Battery O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.77 | $245.13 |
| 08-01 20:16 | LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Season | BUY | 0.888 | $577.20 |
| 08-01 15:57 | Will FK Teplice win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.33 | $150.85 |
| 08-01 15:52 | Will Wolverhampton Wanderers win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.5k |
| 08-01 15:46 | Will Tranmere Rovers FC vs. Rochdale AFC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2 | $439.11 |
| 08-01 12:29 | KSV Hessen Kassel vs. Schalke 04: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.015 | $6.81 |