RADA1970
0x86da2c2e86f1de54102adc30a7fa4ae4473b1cf6
- Realised P&L
- $-359.51
- Volume
- $120.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,221
- Open portfolio
- $20.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,221
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$149.70at 0.279Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
- +$142.10at 0.289Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
- +$111.10at 0.940Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
- +$102.85at 0.595Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
- +$102.39at 0.283Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 02:03 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.81 | $6.48 |
| 08-03 01:47 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.84 | $6.72 |
| 08-02 22:46 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 08-02 15:27 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.80 |
| 08-02 15:26 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.83 | $5.81 |
| 08-02 15:10 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.80 |
| 08-02 14:36 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.31 | $3.10 |
| 08-02 08:03 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.77 | $7.70 |
| 08-02 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.84 | $8.40 |
| 08-02 04:45 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.71 |
| 08-02 03:17 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 08-02 02:01 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 08-02 02:01 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 08-01 16:24 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 08-01 14:52 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.88 | $7.04 |