upasna
0x877f1c1c517421d0d66c1f544f02a86aab497acb
- Realised P&L
- $6.9k
- Volume
- $376.5k
- Markets traded
- 168
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded168
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? · No | 0.748 | 0.755 | $755.00 | +$7.14 |
| Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 20? · No | 0.690 | 0.755 | $415.25 | +$35.75 |
| Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.195 | $195.00 | −$374.99 |
| Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 5? · No | 0.930 | 0.889 | $191.31 | −$8.82 |
| Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.820 | 0.865 | $77.85 | +$4.05 |
| Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 10? · No | 0.780 | 0.910 | $33.95 | +$4.85 |
| Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.100 | $3.11 | −$2.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.0kat 0.400Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
- +$4.8kat 0.790Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?
- +$4.3kat 0.570Will Bitcoin dip to $107K in September?
- +$4.3kat 0.527Plasma >$8B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
- +$3.2kat 0.500Will Solana reach $300 in October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-04 21:00 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June? | BUY | 0.9838181818 | $1.1k |
| 06-04 08:06 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in June? | BUY | 0.95 | $68.29 |
| 06-04 06:34 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $480 in June? | BUY | 0.948 | $341.28 |
| 06-04 06:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June? | BUY | 0.9796 | $489.80 |
| 05-29 17:20 | Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals | BUY | 0.997 | $5.0k |
| 05-29 15:44 | Will Virat Kohli win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 05-29 15:06 | Will Mohammed Sira win the 2026 IPL purple cap? | BUY | 0.9982458101 | $178.69 |
| 05-29 15:06 | Will Ravi Bishnoi win the 2026 IPL purple cap? | BUY | 0.999 | $146.31 |
| 05-29 15:05 | Will Rashid Khan win the 2026 IPL purple cap? | BUY | 0.9985997118 | $249.47 |
| 05-29 15:05 | Will Prasidh Krishna win the 2026 IPL purple cap? | BUY | 0.999 | $159.66 |
| 05-29 15:05 | Will Nandre Burger win the 2026 IPL purple cap? | BUY | 0.999 | $159.66 |
| 05-29 15:05 | Will Josh Hazlewood win the 2026 IPL purple cap? | BUY | 0.999 | $209.61 |
| 05-29 14:59 | Will Virat Kohli win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap? | BUY | 0.9986641221 | $261.65 |
| 05-24 19:39 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? | SELL | 0.733 | $796.97 |
| 05-19 17:12 | Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants | BUY | 0.95 | $950.00 |