tailevent
0x87ef64cc61421e9852a97b00d5adec7f342099cd
- Realised P&L
- $-350.34
- Volume
- $3.55M
- Markets traded
- 5,149
- Open portfolio
- $164.11
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,149
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.001Will BigFuture School be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?
- +$599.39at 0.001Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?
- +$180.02at 0.100Will the highest temperature in New York City be 51°F or below on March 23?
- +$139.81at 0.001Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
- +$71.39at 0.001Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 07:42 | Will Vedat Muriqi be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season? | SELL | 0.076 | $6.80 |
| 05-15 07:40 | Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | SELL | 0.1032149067 | $52.83 |
| 03-23 09:59 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 23? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.36 |
| 03-23 09:59 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 23? | SELL | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 03-23 09:58 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 03-23 08:58 | Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 03-23 05:56 | Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy? | SELL | 0.4614372012 | $139.94 |
| 03-09 12:59 | Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 11? | BUY | 0.67 | $6.70 |
| 03-01 12:40 | Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 1? | BUY | 0.9903929847 | $124.00 |
| 12-17 09:03 | Will Susie Wiles be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025? | SELL | 0.01901 | $11.41 |
| 12-11 08:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.0476190476 | $1.00 |
| 12-02 07:01 | Will Tyler Shough be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year? | SELL | 0.0107820492 | $11.28 |
| 11-25 14:59 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | SELL | 0.0600276074 | $39.14 |
| 11-22 07:31 | Will Diogo Jota be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings? | SELL | 0.0069269583 | $3.32 |
| 11-17 10:23 | Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.07 |