arishone
0x88a1785fdf046369e9b244fca81bd26bed41a17b
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $326.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,139
- Open portfolio
- $998.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,139
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$218.00at 0.270Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 21?
- +$216.91at 0.372Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 June 29-July 5?
- +$212.98at 0.041Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 29?
- +$180.13at 0.117Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$116.37at 0.105Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 19:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.90 |
| 08-01 19:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? | BUY | 0.66 | $13.20 |
| 08-01 18:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.62 |
| 08-01 08:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 08-01 05:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | SELL | 0.54 | $3.61 |
| 08-01 05:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 05:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 16:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.05 |
| 07-31 16:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 5? | SELL | 0.34 | $8.50 |
| 07-31 16:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5? | SELL | 0.112 | $5.60 |
| 07-31 16:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5? | SELL | 0.114 | $11.40 |
| 07-31 14:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 04:29 | Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $8.19 |
| 07-30 12:16 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 07-29 17:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.1156 | $11.56 |