PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

h038596027355

0x88b6e6704a2c3bdff2a7b21ce6b1b2e8f3343cff

Realised P&L
$8.9k
Volume
$3.60M
Markets traded
669
Open portfolio
$9.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded669
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Taylor & Travis divorce in 2026? · No0.9840.976$2.0k$17.49
New pandemic in 2026? · No0.9300.935$1.9k+$10.29
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.5170.525$1.8k+$25.31
Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026? · No0.9500.935$1.5k$22.85
Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026? · No0.5140.470$798.57$74.09
Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026? · No0.9400.825$445.02$62.25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.8900.875$437.50$7.50
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? · No0.6990.565$311.12$73.90
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.4300.425$212.50$2.50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.7600.765$191.25+$1.25
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · Yes0.5920.606$96.53+$2.09
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? · No0.9270.925$85.09$0.21
Will Travis Kelce retire before next season? · Yes0.0310.030$16.80$0.63
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? · No0.1280.006$6.93$129.57
Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.9701.000$4.99+$0.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 16:29Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026?BUY0.94$28.20
08-02 16:29Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026?BUY0.94$38.54
08-02 16:24Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.43$107.50
08-02 16:24Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.43$107.50
08-02 16:23Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.9$225.00
08-02 15:19Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?SELL0.9594117647$65.24
08-02 15:19Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9272394396$178.02
08-02 15:16Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.94$470.00
08-02 15:15Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?BUY0.0272948919$13.89
08-01 15:59Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9455809234$37.27
08-01 15:59Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.6990783644$385.02
08-01 15:54New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.93$330.75
07-31 22:46Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?BUY0.72044956$1.8k
07-31 16:47Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026?BUY0.95$1.4k
07-31 16:44Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?BUY0.2563423913$117.92