h038596027355
0x88b6e6704a2c3bdff2a7b21ce6b1b2e8f3343cff
- Realised P&L
- $8.9k
- Volume
- $3.60M
- Markets traded
- 669
- Open portfolio
- $9.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded669
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.0kat 0.872Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
- +$4.4kat 0.944Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
- +$3.7kat 0.760Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
- +$3.3kat 0.934Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
- +$2.7kat 0.766Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 16:29 | Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $28.20 |
| 08-02 16:29 | Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $38.54 |
| 08-02 16:24 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.43 | $107.50 |
| 08-02 16:24 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.43 | $107.50 |
| 08-02 16:23 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $225.00 |
| 08-02 15:19 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9594117647 | $65.24 |
| 08-02 15:19 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9272394396 | $178.02 |
| 08-02 15:16 | Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $470.00 |
| 08-02 15:15 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? | BUY | 0.0272948919 | $13.89 |
| 08-01 15:59 | Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9455809234 | $37.27 |
| 08-01 15:59 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6990783644 | $385.02 |
| 08-01 15:54 | New pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $330.75 |
| 07-31 22:46 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.72044956 | $1.8k |
| 07-31 16:47 | Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.4k |
| 07-31 16:44 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? | BUY | 0.2563423913 | $117.92 |