pakukudolphi
0x88e2b1b6c7847828fc91af43aba2fee07fb07489
- Realised P&L
- $131.3k
- Volume
- $6.77M
- Markets traded
- 199
- Open portfolio
- $242.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded199
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$90.0kat 0.500Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$50.1kat 0.351Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
- +$21.2kat 0.502US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$20.5kat 0.212US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$14.6kat 0.170US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 04:13 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0963690108 | $173.11 |
| 08-02 03:40 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.4k |
| 08-02 03:30 | IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? | SELL | 0.7571689939 | $501.59 |
| 08-02 03:29 | IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? | SELL | 0.6822649247 | $402.63 |
| 08-02 03:28 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.969 | $10.2k |
| 07-28 10:53 | IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.7k |
| 07-28 10:53 | IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? | BUY | 0.7993835907 | $4.6k |
| 07-26 13:43 | Will there be no Likud party primary by the next Knesset Election? | BUY | 0.9 | $63.90 |
| 07-25 17:21 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.9921380936 | $42.3k |
| 07-25 17:00 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15? | SELL | 0.4132818164 | $433.20 |
| 07-25 15:18 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | SELL | 0.8218019904 | $591.25 |
| 07-25 15:17 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | SELL | 0.8276898302 | $1.2k |
| 07-25 14:50 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.994 | $17.5k |
| 07-25 05:56 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15? | BUY | 0.4594167635 | $1.4k |
| 07-24 19:06 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | SELL | 0.7974683544 | $630.00 |