BYPL
0x88fae9cd5736d3b74893ec7b25afb48c1490fd36
- Realised P&L
- $825.85
- Volume
- $3.94M
- Markets traded
- 149
- Open portfolio
- $7.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded149
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $7.41 | −$2.47 |
| Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.002 | $0.34 | −$0.34 |
| Will the Labor Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $0.22 | −$0.07 |
| Will Citizens’ Movement (MC) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $0.02 | +$0.00 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.80 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting? · No | 0.038 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$404.69at 0.002Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$290.10at 0.002Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$157.29at 0.003Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$70.00at 0.300Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ESC Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
- +$48.21at 0.002Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 08:38 | Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $6.00 |
| 07-05 08:17 | Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $6.00 |
| 07-03 07:46 | Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.98 |
| 06-28 05:16 | Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.55 |
| 06-23 13:46 | Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.003 | $2.61 |
| 06-22 23:46 | Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.39 |
| 06-17 06:57 | Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $8.03 |
| 06-16 00:33 | Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $7.75 |
| 06-15 15:03 | Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.40 |
| 06-15 15:03 | Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.40 |
| 06-15 07:41 | Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.68 |
| 06-15 07:41 | Will the Labor Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.25 |
| 06-14 01:17 | Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $10.29 |
| 06-14 00:05 | Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $4.69 |
| 06-10 08:38 | Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.003 | $1.94 |