Reallymr
0x893613fd3e655ff5ef287702e42572bb9ed22273
- Realised P&L
- $-854.22
- Volume
- $35.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,366
- Open portfolio
- $554.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,366
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? · Yes | 0.532 | 0.140 | $554.55 | −$1.6k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET · Up | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.94 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET · Up | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET · Up | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.44 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET · Down | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$62.87at 0.214Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
- +$60.00at 0.250Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
- +$51.60at 0.386Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
- +$51.43at 0.280Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
- +$51.43at 0.280Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 07:49 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | BUY | 0.5189475959 | $899.00 |
| 07-19 18:57 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | BUY | 0.5621102494 | $380.00 |
| 07-19 18:56 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | BUY | 0.5499999944 | $39.00 |
| 07-19 18:56 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | BUY | 0.549447804 | $200.00 |
| 07-19 18:56 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | BUY | 0.5524683367 | $150.00 |
| 07-19 18:45 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | BUY | 0.51 | $91.50 |
| 07-19 18:42 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | BUY | 0.5 | $150.00 |
| 07-19 17:19 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | BUY | 0.5099999835 | $10.50 |
| 06-09 07:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $2.94 |
| 06-09 06:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | BUY | 0.12 | $1.44 |
| 06-01 07:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.56 | $17.50 |
| 06-01 03:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET | BUY | 0.53 | $16.31 |
| 05-31 21:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.3184634232 | $18.20 |
| 05-31 21:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $17.78 |
| 05-31 21:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5488315759 | $19.26 |