z111-748
0x8951dfc402715deba2cfe1d5ceaae68539046cee
- Realised P&L
- $-198.10
- Volume
- $49.4k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $809.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$421.50at 0.719Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
- +$67.27at 0.955Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
- +$62.06at 0.688Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?
- +$57.60at 0.360EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$48.20at 0.871Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 16:46 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.1353146853 | $96.75 |
| 06-12 16:46 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.1554545455 | $51.30 |
| 06-12 16:36 | Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.66 |
| 06-12 16:33 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.0164120643 | $15.86 |
| 06-11 16:50 | Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.28 | $21.00 |
| 06-11 16:49 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | SELL | 0.69 | $20.69 |
| 06-11 16:43 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.017 | $15.30 |
| 06-11 16:42 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.017 | $17.00 |
| 06-11 16:42 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.023 | $16.10 |
| 06-11 16:42 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.043 | $20.85 |
| 06-11 16:40 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | SELL | 0.57 | $21.09 |
| 06-11 16:39 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | SELL | 0.5957054054 | $22.04 |
| 06-06 13:41 | Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.55 | $22.00 |
| 06-06 13:36 | Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.23 | $11.50 |
| 06-06 13:34 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.28 | $8.40 |