PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

z111-748

0x8951dfc402715deba2cfe1d5ceaae68539046cee

Realised P&L
$-198.10
Volume
$49.4k
Markets traded
88
Open portfolio
$809.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded88
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes0.3800.405$284.92+$17.59
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? · Yes0.9200.973$262.57+$14.17
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple? · Yes0.3801.000$115.66+$71.71
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? · Yes0.3370.165$90.25$93.92
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.6960.555$55.69$14.14
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00$21.60
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00$19.60
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$8.40
Will another company be accused of insider trading? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$2.00
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$10.80
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00$9.39
Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$1.50
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$11.50
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$8.12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 7? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-12 16:46Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.1353146853$96.75
06-12 16:46Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.1554545455$51.30
06-12 16:36Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?SELL0.05$2.66
06-12 16:33Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.0164120643$15.86
06-11 16:50Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.28$21.00
06-11 16:49Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?SELL0.69$20.69
06-11 16:43Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.017$15.30
06-11 16:42Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.017$17.00
06-11 16:42Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.023$16.10
06-11 16:42Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.043$20.85
06-11 16:40Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?SELL0.57$21.09
06-11 16:39Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?SELL0.5957054054$22.04
06-06 13:41Spurs vs. KnicksBUY0.55$22.00
06-06 13:36Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?BUY0.23$11.50
06-06 13:34Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.28$8.40