0x898AE0Ca4A7A4C8166f3d8Ecc3A3b47ef0dcE290-1767860882323
0x898ae0ca4a7a4c8166f3d8ecc3a3b47ef0dce290
- Realised P&L
- $835.32
- Volume
- $138.1k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.118 | 0.055 | $1.6k | −$1.8k |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.4k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.0kat 0.180Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-28 19:38 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.9507286284 | $9.9k |
| 01-29 09:44 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.9k |
| 01-28 13:36 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.02 | $309.70 |
| 01-28 13:36 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.20 |
| 01-28 13:36 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.019 | $73.61 |
| 01-26 18:43 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.034 | $6.09 |
| 01-26 18:42 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.033 | $39.60 |
| 01-25 18:52 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.0339979993 | $315.90 |
| 01-25 18:51 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.033 | $32.27 |
| 01-18 20:34 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.6k |
| 01-14 22:55 | Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199606672 | $1.6k |
| 01-14 22:52 | Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999998 | $537.30 |
| 01-14 22:50 | Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $11.00 |
| 01-09 08:06 | Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $62.72 |
| 01-09 08:05 | Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $25.47 |