PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x898AE0Ca4A7A4C8166f3d8Ecc3A3b47ef0dcE290-1767860882323

0x898ae0ca4a7a4c8166f3d8ecc3a3b47ef0dce290

Realised P&L
$835.32
Volume
$138.1k
Markets traded
3
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded3
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1180.055$1.6k$1.8k
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.0610.000$0.00$5.4k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-28 19:38Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL0.9507286284$9.9k
01-29 09:44Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.18$1.9k
01-28 13:36Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.02$309.70
01-28 13:36Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.019$1.20
01-28 13:36Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.019$73.61
01-26 18:43Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.034$6.09
01-26 18:42Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.033$39.60
01-25 18:52Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.0339979993$315.90
01-25 18:51Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.033$32.27
01-18 20:34Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.08$4.6k
01-14 22:55Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1199606672$1.6k
01-14 22:52Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999998$537.30
01-14 22:50Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.11$11.00
01-09 08:06Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.15$62.72
01-09 08:05Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.15$25.47