titanfish
0x89a4f372668e97723385002d50b08549bb5081de
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $236.8k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $7.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration41.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.049 | $7.0k | −$50.25 |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19? · Yes | 0.604 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.3k |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 13-19? · Yes | 0.289 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$866.07 |
| Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? · No | 0.431 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.8k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.2kat 0.606Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
- +$4.0kat 0.040US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
- +$1.8kat 0.590MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 23-29?
- +$1.3kat 0.803MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 16-22?
- +$1.0kat 0.342Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 16-22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-08 23:45 | Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | BUY | 0.4313021099 | $6.8k |
| 01-16 20:19 | MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 13-19? | BUY | 0.3086296526 | $363.10 |
| 01-16 16:22 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19? | BUY | 0.341546127 | $279.33 |
| 01-16 16:21 | MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 13-19? | BUY | 0.2761434627 | $493.84 |
| 01-16 00:15 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19? | BUY | 0.6498334701 | $2.2k |
| 01-15 19:58 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19? | BUY | 0.6647106633 | $2.6k |
| 01-15 16:52 | US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $345.72 |
| 01-12 19:01 | US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.8246666667 | $4.9k |
| 01-11 22:24 | US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.7930775575 | $2.1k |
| 01-11 22:22 | US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.8820599162 | $4.2k |
| 01-02 16:48 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 30-January 5? | SELL | 0.287207128 | $1.2k |
| 01-01 23:37 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 30-January 5? | BUY | 0.4294582116 | $673.45 |
| 12-31 23:50 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 30-January 5? | BUY | 0.4224124787 | $1.1k |
| 12-24 21:10 | MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 23-29? | BUY | 0.6 | $898.50 |
| 12-19 12:38 | MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 16-22? | BUY | 0.8766084425 | $3.0k |