0x8a8D3FA969102aeB887E310644634e31635272f8-1776155470258
0x8a8d3fa969102aeb887e310644634e31635272f8
- Realised P&L
- $2.3k
- Volume
- $262.8k
- Markets traded
- 206
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded206
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.995 | 1.000 | $1.0k | +$4.52 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET · Down | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET · Up | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET · Up | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$143.91at 0.948Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- +$90.54at 0.939Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?
- +$83.33at 0.960Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 29?
- +$80.54at 0.925Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?
- +$65.24at 0.955Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:19 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.995 | $1000.00 |
| 08-02 21:01 | Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.9922515355 | $550.00 |
| 08-02 21:00 | Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.991 | $500.00 |
| 08-02 19:47 | Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.9788759764 | $1000.00 |
| 08-02 19:09 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.9876247624 | $1000.00 |
| 08-02 19:09 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.947262357 | $1000.00 |
| 08-02 10:38 | Saitama Seibu Lions vs. Orix Buffaloes | BUY | 0.9876806498 | $300.00 |
| 08-02 09:58 | Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks | BUY | 0.9745096313 | $600.00 |
| 08-02 05:59 | Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Chiba Lotte Marines | BUY | 0.9698739164 | $1000.00 |
| 08-02 03:16 | Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.9399999988 | $600.00 |
| 08-02 03:12 | Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.9399999995 | $400.00 |
| 08-02 03:11 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds | SELL | 0.999 | $408.19 |
| 08-02 02:57 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.9789388163 | $400.00 |
| 08-02 01:58 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.9970437599 | $2.5k |
| 08-02 00:19 | Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.9585621567 | $500.00 |