JeanMichelApeuPres
0x8aa0cd2f816090754d8c00ed49d6f03f6bbdbe68
- Realised P&L
- $-774.99
- Volume
- $25.5k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $512.41
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.359 | 0.255 | $426.63 | −$173.37 |
| Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.019 | $26.07 | −$28.20 |
| Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.003 | $23.27 | −$76.73 |
| Will Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.845 | $17.75 | +$1.78 |
| Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.003 | $10.00 | −$18.00 |
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.004 | $5.40 | −$11.40 |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.005 | $3.30 | −$2.10 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · No | 0.719 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$540.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$86.07at 0.050Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$33.91at 0.820Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$8.93at 0.540Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
- +$7.74at 0.690Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
- +$1.32at 0.020Will Steve Marshall be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 21:06 | Will Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? | BUY | 0.76 | $15.96 |
| 05-15 21:02 | Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.009 | $5.40 |
| 05-15 20:59 | Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.014 | $16.80 |
| 05-15 20:53 | Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.007 | $28.00 |
| 04-19 17:37 | Will Steve Marshall be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.32 |
| 04-17 18:09 | Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.43 |
| 04-17 15:36 | Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia? | BUY | 0.4 | $15.28 |
| 04-15 10:54 | Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.0405984604 | $54.27 |
| 04-15 10:52 | Will Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia? | BUY | 0.0498256104 | $20.00 |
| 04-15 10:50 | Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana? | BUY | 0.2599999966 | $50.00 |
| 04-15 10:11 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3499999975 | $50.00 |
| 04-15 10:10 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.7004122021 | $174.27 |
| 04-14 08:50 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7898151257 | $196.52 |
| 04-14 08:47 | Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.991 | $196.53 |
| 04-09 12:31 | Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8199999998 | $162.62 |