PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x8AAAAC8E8523492DB360b722AF35177F4D4D51dF-1763508361044

0x8aaaac8e8523492db360b722af35177f4d4d51df

Realised P&L
$51.4k
Volume
$1.22M
Markets traded
188
Open portfolio
$543.84

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded188
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? · Yes0.3690.140$315.20$516.72
Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27? · No0.1580.392$195.75+$116.75
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · No0.2840.003$32.56$3.7k
Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31? · Yes0.0190.001$0.34$12.30
Iran coup attempt by June 30? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$36.92
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.1570.000$0.00$193.62
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.2710.000$0.00$1.5k
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-14? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00$34.69
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0980.000$0.00$832.93
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.0700.000$0.00$490.00
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance · Germany0.3520.000$0.00$534.70
England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners · Over0.5800.000$0.00$522.00
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$140.00
Iran full airspace closure by July 24? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00$292.63
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.1020.000$0.00$66.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 21:32Iran full airspace closure by August 15?BUY0.38$261.93
08-01 21:25Iran full airspace closure by August 15?BUY0.37$281.99
08-01 21:25Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.3$247.16
08-01 20:31Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.32$935.72
07-24 15:56Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?BUY0.16$288.00
07-24 09:57Iran full airspace closure by July 24?BUY0.08$56.00
07-24 09:56Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?BUY0.06$150.00
07-23 16:29Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?BUY0.22$142.53
07-23 15:32Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?BUY0.25$43.50
07-23 13:43Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?BUY0.0186762041$12.64
07-23 12:12Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?BUY0.1396404482$279.28
07-23 12:00Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?BUY0.0379774753$371.97
07-23 09:50Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?BUY0.26$508.90
07-22 19:20Iran full airspace closure by July 24?BUY0.14$14.87
07-19 14:28Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.08$62.40