0x8AAAAC8E8523492DB360b722AF35177F4D4D51dF-1763508361044
0x8aaaac8e8523492db360b722af35177f4d4d51df
- Realised P&L
- $51.4k
- Volume
- $1.22M
- Markets traded
- 188
- Open portfolio
- $543.84
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded188
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.2kat 0.287Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
- +$6.0kat 0.394US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$5.6kat 0.187US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
- +$5.3kat 0.196US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$5.2kat 0.157US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 21:32 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | BUY | 0.38 | $261.93 |
| 08-01 21:25 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | BUY | 0.37 | $281.99 |
| 08-01 21:25 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.3 | $247.16 |
| 08-01 20:31 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.32 | $935.72 |
| 07-24 15:56 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? | BUY | 0.16 | $288.00 |
| 07-24 09:57 | Iran full airspace closure by July 24? | BUY | 0.08 | $56.00 |
| 07-24 09:56 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24? | BUY | 0.06 | $150.00 |
| 07-23 16:29 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | BUY | 0.22 | $142.53 |
| 07-23 15:32 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | BUY | 0.25 | $43.50 |
| 07-23 13:43 | Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31? | BUY | 0.0186762041 | $12.64 |
| 07-23 12:12 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24? | BUY | 0.1396404482 | $279.28 |
| 07-23 12:00 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23? | BUY | 0.0379774753 | $371.97 |
| 07-23 09:50 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | BUY | 0.26 | $508.90 |
| 07-22 19:20 | Iran full airspace closure by July 24? | BUY | 0.14 | $14.87 |
| 07-19 14:28 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.08 | $62.40 |