PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x8B22A43bEC83649bbD80E14daffc4911FC8baB06-1758914595788

0x8b22a43bec83649bbd80e14daffc4911fc8bab06

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$52.2k
Markets traded
64
Open portfolio
$180.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded64
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? · Yes0.3500.365$103.98+$4.38
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0160.007$70.61$90.32
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? · Yes0.3400.180$6.12$5.44
Houthis successfully target shipping by March 31? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$17.00
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$5.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? · Yes0.3520.000$0.00$52.78
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 17, 2026? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$6.81
Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31? · Yes0.3390.000$0.00$127.12
Zuffa Boxing 4: Opetaia vs. Glanton (Cruiserweight, Main) · Glanton0.0020.000$0.00$0.10
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 10, 2026? · Yes0.1130.000$0.00$195.28
Iran closes its airspace by May 24? · Yes0.1890.000$0.00$5.07
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$104.91
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.0700.000$0.00$2.90
Enhanced Games: Hafthor Bjornsson Heaviest Deadlift Over 510 Kg? · Yes0.8900.000$0.00$26.70
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.0 on March 27, 2026? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$11.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-15 06:34US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.1529999851$7.54
06-15 06:27US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0699999783$2.90
06-15 06:26Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by by June 30?SELL0.26$3.03
06-08 09:17Israel closes its airspace by June 9?BUY0.4$5.00
06-08 09:17Israel closes its airspace by June 8?BUY0.2799999731$5.00
06-08 09:11Israel closes its airspace by June 9?BUY0.3947368421$15.00
05-25 03:35Enhanced Games: Hafthor Bjornsson Heaviest Deadlift Over 510 Kg?BUY0.89$7.12
05-24 22:44Will Kristian Gkolomeev win the 50m freestyle at the 2026 Enhanced Games?BUY0.43$8.60
05-24 10:16Will Kristian Gkolomeev win the 50m freestyle at the 2026 Enhanced Games?BUY0.24$12.00
05-24 06:47Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot FireBUY0.21$2.10
05-24 06:47Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot FireBUY0.2$6.00
05-24 06:46Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot FireBUY0.19$1.52
05-23 21:14Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot FireBUY0.34$10.20
05-23 21:11Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot FireBUY0.34$13.60
05-23 21:09Enhanced Games: Hafthor Bjornsson Heaviest Deadlift Over 510 Kg?SELL0.28$8.40