PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Joe-Biden

0x8b5a7da2fdf239b51b9c68a2a1a35bb156d200f2

Realised P&L
$1.52M
Volume
$34.06M
Markets traded
365
Open portfolio
$33.0k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded365
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0970.085$23.9k$3.4k
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0990.085$8.5k$1.4k
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2700.185$586.02$269.25
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0380.004$5.70$56.58
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$54.0k
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31? · Yes0.2010.000$0.00$4.8k
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$511.07
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? · No0.4300.000$0.00$12.3k
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.1490.000$0.00$32.9k
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$77.86
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? · No0.3900.000$0.00$21.4k
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10? · No0.2100.000$0.00$8.4k
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown? · No0.5000.000$0.00$300.23
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-29? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$1.1k
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31? · No0.4800.000$0.00$7.3k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 22:02Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceBUY0.55$2.8k
07-07 21:14Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Colombia?BUY0.34$8.5k
07-07 21:13Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Colombia?BUY0.3345170203$15.1k
07-06 23:25Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.66$49.5k
07-06 23:24United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBUY0.54$40.5k
07-04 04:51Paraguay vs. France: Team to AdvanceBUY0.08$24.0k
07-03 02:11Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3325$36.1k
07-02 23:55Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to AdvanceBUY0.2625$128.41
07-01 21:04Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceBUY0.59$29.0k
06-30 22:36Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.44$88.0k
06-30 22:02Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.0218314668$291.49
06-29 21:31Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceBUY0.36$74.3k
06-26 20:38Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY0.73$21.3k
06-26 20:38Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY0.73$37.1k
06-24 19:00Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.37$6.3k