0x8b76234e1ae555c2c1d0b8bbbd7f554cfed849de
- Realised P&L
- $-7.67
- Volume
- $444.31
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $58.84
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.209 | $22.72 | −$2.28 |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.806 | 0.830 | $20.60 | +$0.60 |
| Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.212 | 0.165 | $15.53 | −$4.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.51at 0.231Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-26 16:09 | Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8059661002 | $20.00 |
| 03-26 16:09 | Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2125416582 | $20.00 |
| 03-24 10:29 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.2167632672 | $23.49 |
| 03-24 09:54 | Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.2299999933 | $25.00 |
| 03-24 09:54 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2307292905 | $25.00 |