0x8c2ee0183816eb293365f78ee71176c1f8d40f9f
- Realised P&L
- $-9.16
- Volume
- $20.7k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $26.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.004 | $26.66 | −$50.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$58.75at 0.544Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score
- +$47.40at 0.470Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
- +$42.96at 0.590Will England win on 2026-06-17?
- +$27.04at 0.270Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?
- +$23.30at 0.300Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 10:20 | Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0116505443 | $2.00 |
| 07-08 10:20 | Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0109999892 | $1.00 |
| 07-08 10:20 | Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0109999892 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 21:57 | Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0120000002 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 17:16 | Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0120025228 | $2.84 |
| 07-03 21:37 | Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.012 | $3.00 |
| 06-29 15:16 | Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.012 | $18.00 |
| 06-28 07:52 | Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0120168928 | $23.00 |
| 06-25 09:19 | Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0138529098 | $10.00 |
| 06-25 09:18 | Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.0054726713 | $4.25 |
| 06-24 12:01 | Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0128725489 | $10.00 |
| 06-20 20:08 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | BUY | 0.6299999946 | $12.86 |
| 06-19 22:29 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.7899999573 | $10.00 |
| 06-19 22:28 | Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |
| 06-19 17:35 | Spread: United States (-1.5) | SELL | 0.34 | $9.71 |