rocky42016
0x8d88d51a302d3bfb8fc2f71abdfd5f676cbd1e28
- Realised P&L
- $-5.6k
- Volume
- $10.74M
- Markets traded
- 6,701
- Open portfolio
- $4.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,701
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.366Athletics vs. Rays
- +$1.5kat 0.154Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)
- +$1.3kat 0.188Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?
- +$1.2kat 0.219Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.262Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 19:41 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | SELL | 0.68 | $14.35 |
| 08-01 04:41 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 08-01 01:11 | Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-07-31? | SELL | 0.3 | $14.10 |
| 08-01 01:05 | Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-07-31? | SELL | 0.32 | $46.72 |
| 07-31 13:54 | Counter-Strike: banda chuya vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #7 Playoffs | BUY | 0.47 | $12.69 |
| 07-30 22:57 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 31? | SELL | 0.45 | $56.70 |
| 07-30 21:58 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 31? | SELL | 0.47 | $8.46 |
| 07-30 12:40 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 31? | SELL | 0.55 | $66.00 |
| 07-29 07:42 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.59 | $3.54 |
| 07-28 22:26 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | SELL | 0.939 | $93.90 |
| 07-28 17:21 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 28? | SELL | 0.36 | $12.96 |
| 07-28 17:17 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 28? | SELL | 0.13 | $26.00 |
| 07-28 15:23 | BNB Up or Down on July 28? | SELL | 0.982 | $23.57 |
| 07-28 06:27 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $4.50 |
| 07-27 23:48 | Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-07-27? | SELL | 0.24 | $29.04 |