Hsalm
0x8db051a22275e7789ac20c1c04cea97508bf8df7
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $68.3k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? · Yes | 0.145 | 0.145 | $506.75 | −$0.29 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.119 | 0.075 | $458.38 | −$270.61 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · No | 0.490 | 0.305 | $262.30 | −$159.39 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? · No | 0.187 | 0.090 | $163.41 | −$175.97 |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? · No | 0.737 | 0.575 | $93.64 | −$26.36 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? · No | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$96.00 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$136.56 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$71.63 |
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$921.57at 0.124Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
- +$90.85at 0.094Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?
- +$36.00at 0.700Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
- +$12.02at 0.835Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?
- +$8.08at 0.080Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 06:23 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | BUY | 0.12 | $91.88 |
| 08-02 00:14 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.5294861667 | $317.69 |
| 08-01 22:00 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.76 | $455.98 |
| 08-01 18:57 | Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $52.06 |
| 08-01 18:57 | Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $210.00 |
| 08-01 18:57 | Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $140.00 |
| 08-01 18:05 | Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $2.99 |
| 08-01 18:04 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.09 | $270.00 |
| 07-29 12:32 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 07-29 12:31 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.1774647848 | $35.00 |
| 07-29 12:19 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $34.90 |
| 07-28 18:02 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.1352124615 | $87.89 |
| 07-24 15:13 | Israel military action against Yemen by July 31? | SELL | 0.08 | $24.00 |
| 07-24 15:12 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | SELL | 0.16 | $80.00 |
| 07-23 18:13 | Israel military action against Yemen by July 31? | SELL | 0.1614875418 | $8.68 |