ChasingPaper
0x8dc7a4315b3a6230a507a3776e68cd3ceb2b116f
- Realised P&L
- $5.6k
- Volume
- $509.4k
- Markets traded
- 470
- Open portfolio
- $21.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded470
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.510Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
- +$1.2kat 0.635Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
- +$1.2kat 0.535Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$816.00at 0.372Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$750.00at 0.250Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 15:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $370.00 |
| 07-21 13:40 | Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.168799988 | $168.80 |
| 07-20 21:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $105.98 |
| 07-20 21:03 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $72.00 |
| 07-20 19:26 | Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.5721243327 | $211.12 |
| 07-20 19:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $115.00 |
| 07-20 19:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $180.00 |
| 07-20 14:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $180.00 |
| 07-20 14:08 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? | BUY | 0.16 | $112.00 |
| 07-20 14:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $506.00 |
| 07-20 14:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $990.00 |
| 07-19 01:36 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.6314644116 | $392.40 |
| 07-19 01:36 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.2002621271 | $414.74 |
| 07-19 01:36 | Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.6510373346 | $442.40 |
| 07-19 01:32 | Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.2318541667 | $27.82 |