0x8F9F70a4D9beeB568742C06f15Ea7Bd9A60236e1-1769884053243
0x8f9f70a4d9beeb568742c06f15ea7bd9a60236e1
- Realised P&L
- $-550.25
- Volume
- $9.5k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $352.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.62at 0.390Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?
- +$31.33at 0.153Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$11.85at 0.481Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division?
- +$11.00at 0.500Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?
- +$9.75at 0.530US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 17:58 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.24 | $3.33 |
| 07-31 17:54 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.1299999627 | $3.00 |
| 07-29 19:22 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $5.00 |
| 07-27 19:23 | Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 07-21 20:57 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 07-21 20:52 | Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026? | BUY | 0.1394000223 | $5.00 |
| 07-21 13:41 | Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? | BUY | 0.1090512541 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 18:10 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999521 | $2.00 |
| 07-20 17:57 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $4.11 |
| 07-20 17:42 | Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0209999896 | $2.00 |
| 07-15 13:00 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 12:59 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 12:57 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 12:35 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.581 | $40.94 |
| 07-13 23:08 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999335 | $3.00 |