PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x8F9F70a4D9beeB568742C06f15Ea7Bd9A60236e1-1769884053243

0x8f9f70a4d9beeb568742c06f15ea7bd9a60236e1

Realised P&L
$-550.25
Volume
$9.5k
Markets traded
87
Open portfolio
$352.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded87
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? · Yes0.1000.081$81.00$19.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1800.055$33.92$77.08
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? · Yes0.0900.055$26.35$16.77
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No0.4740.220$25.52$29.48
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.5640.155$18.97$50.03
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · Yes0.2270.115$16.72$16.28
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6010.525$12.23$1.77
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? · Yes0.2400.125$11.46$10.54
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.4000.075$8.25$35.75
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.3900.705$7.75+$3.46
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.085$7.19$3.81
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.2640.055$6.87$26.13
Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.5100.675$6.62+$1.62
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.4900.285$5.81$4.19
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · Yes0.4600.505$5.49+$0.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 17:58Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.24$3.33
07-31 17:54Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?BUY0.1299999627$3.00
07-29 19:22Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?BUY0.4599999595$5.00
07-27 19:23Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?BUY0.1$5.00
07-21 20:57Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.07$1.40
07-21 20:52Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?BUY0.1394000223$5.00
07-21 13:41Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?BUY0.1090512541$5.00
07-20 18:10Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.1099999521$2.00
07-20 17:57Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL0.37$4.11
07-20 17:42Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?BUY0.0209999896$2.00
07-15 13:00Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.149999976$5.00
07-15 12:59Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.5099999796$5.00
07-15 12:57US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.4599999595$5.00
07-15 12:35Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.581$40.94
07-13 23:08Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5699999335$3.00