0x8fAE33f5822F3e5E472d4796A55D5110241B2f76-1783602509904
0x8fae33f5822f3e5e472d4796a55d5110241b2f76
- Realised P&L
- $-17.30
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 249
- Open portfolio
- $178.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded249
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.40at 0.680Will anyone say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Big Brother E2?
- +$3.20at 0.680Will anyone say "Villain" during Big Brother E2?
- +$3.10at 0.690Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?
- +$2.60at 0.896Solana Up or Down - July 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
- +$1.85at 0.877Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 06:24 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.80 |
| 08-03 05:03 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? | SELL | 0.051 | $0.26 |
| 08-02 07:52 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.90 |
| 08-02 02:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 4? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 07-29 20:03 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | SELL | 0.321 | $1.60 |
| 07-29 18:53 | Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.50 |
| 07-29 18:44 | Will Warsh say "North Star" during July Press Conference? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 07-29 18:38 | Will Warsh say "Dollar" during July Press Conference? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.65 |
| 07-29 15:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 29? | SELL | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 07-29 15:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29? | SELL | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 07-29 15:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 29? | SELL | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 07-29 07:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 07-28 15:52 | Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | BUY | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 07-28 15:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 28? | SELL | 0.469 | $2.34 |
| 07-28 15:30 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 31? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |