PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x8fAE33f5822F3e5E472d4796A55D5110241B2f76-1783602509904

0x8fae33f5822f3e5e472d4796a55d5110241b2f76

Realised P&L
$-17.30
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
249
Open portfolio
$178.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded249
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration4.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 06:24Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 3?SELL0.16$0.80
08-03 05:03Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?SELL0.051$0.26
08-02 07:52Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2?SELL0.18$0.90
08-02 02:07Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 4?BUY0.86$4.30
07-29 20:03U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?SELL0.321$1.60
07-29 18:53Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference?SELL0.1$0.50
07-29 18:44Will Warsh say "North Star" during July Press Conference?SELL0.001$0.01
07-29 18:38Will Warsh say "Dollar" during July Press Conference?SELL0.13$0.65
07-29 15:55Bitcoin Up or Down on July 29?SELL0.5$2.50
07-29 15:19Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?SELL0.49$2.45
07-29 15:19Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 29?SELL0.56$2.80
07-29 07:42Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 1?BUY0.86$4.30
07-28 15:52Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.69$3.45
07-28 15:47Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 28?SELL0.469$2.34
07-28 15:30Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 31?BUY0.89$4.45