154f
0x8fef62b5d023389798d4e683d3ba016e1a7f10d6
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $314.6k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $720.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.004 | $713.70 | −$1.1k |
| Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No | 0.998 | 0.999 | $6.36 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.00at 0.750Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?
- +$6.11at 0.953Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
- +$2.25at 0.690LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
- +$1.11at 0.900Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
- +$0.81at 0.961Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 06:32 | Will Parchment: Agenda & Daily Note be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.57 |
| 07-28 06:31 | Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.55 |
| 07-28 06:30 | Will Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.42 |
| 07-28 06:30 | Will TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.36 |
| 07-28 06:30 | Will SkyView be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.34 |
| 07-28 06:28 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.76 |
| 07-28 06:26 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.34 |
| 07-28 06:25 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.9899993802 | $1.23 |
| 07-28 06:25 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.22 |
| 07-28 06:24 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.65 |
| 07-28 06:24 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.15 |
| 07-28 06:23 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.12 |
| 07-28 06:21 | Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.9969999993 | $1.50 |
| 07-28 06:20 | Will "72 Hours" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.988999643 | $1.41 |
| 07-28 06:20 | Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.987999688 | $1.52 |