PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ineedmassage

0x90f7180856b033ea45200d892a7bc49fd1662501

Realised P&L
$21.3k
Volume
$1.69M
Markets traded
1,065
Open portfolio
$17.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,065
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027? · No0.7470.840$3.1k+$336.52
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · No0.8590.870$1.8k+$21.80
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? · No0.4930.596$1.5k+$250.36
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · No0.7340.885$780.15+$133.19
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? · No0.9720.939$703.33$25.11
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? · No0.6790.860$599.42+$126.43
Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027? · No0.7490.855$490.91+$60.78
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay · No0.8770.905$477.05+$14.45
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · Yes0.5800.440$440.00$140.00
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31? · No0.9600.970$439.55+$4.53
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · Yes0.0380.214$413.10+$340.30
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? · No0.9030.923$369.40+$8.20
Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027? · No0.7980.775$337.29$10.00
Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027? · No0.6250.695$334.23+$33.84
Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027? · No0.7110.835$326.11+$48.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 11:24Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.8$360.00
08-02 11:15Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?SELL0.87$98.14
08-02 11:15Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?SELL0.87$196.28
08-02 11:14Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?SELL0.98$987.11
08-02 09:36Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?BUY0.75$3.75
08-02 09:36Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?BUY0.71$3.55
08-02 09:09Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?BUY0.799509974$294.99
08-02 07:23Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.982$304.42
08-02 07:23Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?SELL0.9617872523$280.97
08-01 17:50Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.6$120.00
08-01 17:49Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.59$8.84
08-01 17:48Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.59$17.70
08-01 17:48Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.59$17.70
08-01 15:37Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?SELL0.86$25.80
08-01 15:04Iran full airspace closure by August 15?BUY0.67$265.99