leCommissaire
0x9238743eeba8bbfe9e85ac7ba2e1e3d77877b73e
- Realised P&L
- $98.9k
- Volume
- $3.07M
- Markets traded
- 2,397
- Open portfolio
- $17.6k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded2,397
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.2kat 0.587Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
- +$3.0kat 0.609Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
- +$3.0kat 0.640Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
- +$2.5kat 0.745Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
- +$2.4kat 0.445Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:21 | Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $60.00 |
| 08-02 22:05 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | SELL | 0.8 | $92.00 |
| 08-02 22:05 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | BUY | 0.43 | $129.00 |
| 08-02 21:55 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | SELL | 0.57 | $45.32 |
| 08-02 21:52 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.5498270983 | $549.82 |
| 08-02 21:28 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.49 | $12.25 |
| 08-02 21:27 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | SELL | 0.65 | $32.50 |
| 08-02 21:03 | Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? | BUY | 0.62 | $31.00 |
| 08-02 21:02 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.2293333333 | $34.40 |
| 08-02 20:38 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | BUY | 0.024 | $7.20 |
| 08-02 18:21 | Will Russia enter Matiasheve by August 31? | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 08-02 17:27 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.5 | $37.50 |
| 08-02 17:25 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.22 | $5.50 |
| 08-02 15:06 | Will FK Krasnodar win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.71 | $10.64 |
| 08-02 09:12 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? | SELL | 0.16 | $4.17 |