StefVie
0x9290cfdcff27056a27555d4b9c50c9edfb2bf429
- Realised P&L
- $-44.6k
- Volume
- $465.1k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $15.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)9.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.055 | $14.4k | −$38.1k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes | 0.122 | 0.018 | $656.06 | −$3.7k |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.135 | $276.93 | −$174.37 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.40at 0.580Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
- +$0.00at 0.860Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- +$-3.94at 0.310Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$-7.40at 0.360Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
- +$-10.96at 0.413Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 22:47 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.22 | $11.30 |
| 05-11 21:07 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.4k |
| 05-11 20:41 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.12 | $32.73 |
| 05-11 20:38 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.1203020877 | $800.00 |
| 05-11 16:30 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.120248977 | $1.8k |
| 05-11 16:28 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.22 | $440.00 |
| 05-10 05:44 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.1199999995 | $212.50 |
| 05-10 04:34 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.12 | $96.00 |
| 05-09 22:14 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.13 | $12.66 |
| 05-09 22:13 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | SELL | 0.021 | $11.57 |
| 05-09 17:22 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.13 | $208.00 |
| 05-09 16:28 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.12 | $42.00 |
| 05-09 16:27 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 05-09 16:25 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.12 | $240.00 |
| 05-09 16:24 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | SELL | 0.024 | $40.50 |