PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

StefVie

0x9290cfdcff27056a27555d4b9c50c9edfb2bf429

Realised P&L
$-44.6k
Volume
$465.1k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$15.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-9.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)9.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.2000.055$14.4k$38.1k
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.1220.018$656.06$3.7k
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.2200.135$276.93$174.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-11 22:47Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.22$11.30
05-11 21:07Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.17$1.4k
05-11 20:41Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.12$32.73
05-11 20:38Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.1203020877$800.00
05-11 16:30Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.120248977$1.8k
05-11 16:28Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.22$440.00
05-10 05:44Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.1199999995$212.50
05-10 04:34Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.12$96.00
05-09 22:14Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.13$12.66
05-09 22:13Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?SELL0.021$11.57
05-09 17:22Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.13$208.00
05-09 16:28Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.12$42.00
05-09 16:27Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.12$12.00
05-09 16:25Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.12$240.00
05-09 16:24Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?SELL0.024$40.50