PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Clesta

0x92c48a25952dbc9ef53683577da5936484328767

Realised P&L
$-835.65
Volume
$28.2k
Markets traded
154
Open portfolio
$538.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded154
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes0.5740.560$82.96$2.04
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4000.445$82.08+$8.30
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4640.500$75.41+$5.41
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5600.555$49.55$0.45
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3400.415$42.72+$7.72
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? · Yes0.4070.350$42.08$6.92
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6160.525$38.34$6.66
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 · Mayweather0.6620.525$35.71$9.29
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.5980.905$30.24+$10.24
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? · Yes0.6900.690$25.00$0.00
Chud the Builder convicted? · Yes0.7800.525$16.83$8.17
Rainbow Six Siege: CAG by VARREL vs Fnatic (BO1) - Esports World Cup Play-In Group B · CAG by VARREL0.4650.415$8.92$1.08
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.5070.230$6.81$8.19
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0290.011$1.52$2.48
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2360.000$0.00$39.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 00:59Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.5599999919$25.00
08-03 00:57Rainbow Six Siege: CAG by VARREL vs Fnatic (BO1) - Esports World Cup Play-In Group BBUY0.4650297619$10.00
07-31 11:29Overwatch: Spacestation Gaming vs VARREL (BO3) - OCS Midseason Championship Group BBUY0.5382059789$30.00
07-29 10:48Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.5599999919$25.00
07-29 00:24Overwatch: Spacestation Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - OCS Midseason Championship Group BBUY0.7798251682$31.00
07-24 10:50Will Nashville SC win on 2026-07-25?BUY0.4499999921$20.00
07-24 07:13Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-07-25?BUY0.5140811991$15.00
07-24 06:52Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?BUY0.4699999929$20.00
07-18 07:37Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4099999929$26.99
07-17 11:56NBA Summer League: Charlotte Hornets vs. Sacramento KingsBUY0.5699999939$15.00
07-17 11:34Will San Diego FC win on 2026-07-22?BUY0.315249178$10.00
07-17 11:23France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.6499999935$20.00
07-17 11:21Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?BUY0.6199999981$20.00
07-17 11:12Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-22?BUY0.5$20.00
07-17 11:09Rainbow Six Siege: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LOS (BO3) - South America League Stage 1 PlayoffsBUY0.6999999972$25.00