Clesta
0x92c48a25952dbc9ef53683577da5936484328767
- Realised P&L
- $-835.65
- Volume
- $28.2k
- Markets traded
- 154
- Open portfolio
- $538.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded154
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$435.90at 0.586Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$156.69at 0.187UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$106.99at 0.396Lakers vs. Trail Blazers
- +$55.54at 0.380GTA VI released in 2025?
- +$46.67at 0.300Rainbow Six Siege: FaZe Clan vs DarkZero Esports (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 00:59 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5599999919 | $25.00 |
| 08-03 00:57 | Rainbow Six Siege: CAG by VARREL vs Fnatic (BO1) - Esports World Cup Play-In Group B | BUY | 0.4650297619 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 11:29 | Overwatch: Spacestation Gaming vs VARREL (BO3) - OCS Midseason Championship Group B | BUY | 0.5382059789 | $30.00 |
| 07-29 10:48 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5599999919 | $25.00 |
| 07-29 00:24 | Overwatch: Spacestation Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - OCS Midseason Championship Group B | BUY | 0.7798251682 | $31.00 |
| 07-24 10:50 | Will Nashville SC win on 2026-07-25? | BUY | 0.4499999921 | $20.00 |
| 07-24 07:13 | Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-07-25? | BUY | 0.5140811991 | $15.00 |
| 07-24 06:52 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25? | BUY | 0.4699999929 | $20.00 |
| 07-18 07:37 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4099999929 | $26.99 |
| 07-17 11:56 | NBA Summer League: Charlotte Hornets vs. Sacramento Kings | BUY | 0.5699999939 | $15.00 |
| 07-17 11:34 | Will San Diego FC win on 2026-07-22? | BUY | 0.315249178 | $10.00 |
| 07-17 11:23 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $20.00 |
| 07-17 11:21 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999981 | $20.00 |
| 07-17 11:12 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-22? | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 07-17 11:09 | Rainbow Six Siege: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LOS (BO3) - South America League Stage 1 Playoffs | BUY | 0.6999999972 | $25.00 |