0x936da7b53F7AcA8bEC5FB396274E732e66f5Da6F-1747391325060
0x936da7b53f7aca8bec5fb396274e732e66f5da6f
- Realised P&L
- $-11.88
- Volume
- $22.6k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $0.19
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 27-August 2? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $0.19 | −$0.58 |
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.96 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.82at 0.984Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$0.20at 0.009Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.15at 0.988Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$0.06at 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 14?
- +$0.06at 0.994Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 12:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.78 |
| 08-02 12:50 | Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.994 | $45.72 |
| 07-22 05:26 | Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.993 | $45.68 |
| 07-15 00:28 | Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.993 | $44.69 |
| 07-08 07:54 | Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.993 | $44.69 |
| 06-24 08:05 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.86 | $46.44 |
| 06-20 23:39 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.977 | $46.90 |
| 06-17 07:23 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.977 | $46.90 |
| 06-11 22:26 | Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.998 | $47.90 |
| 06-06 13:53 | Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.998 | $47.90 |
| 05-30 05:00 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.99 |
| 05-28 13:53 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $48.95 |
| 05-22 04:53 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 05-08 09:45 | Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $49.60 |
| 03-06 15:54 | Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.988 | $49.40 |