smallreceipt
0x942e79166821f3f4e67872e44f1672fcccd2be27
- Realised P&L
- $-2.5k
- Volume
- $2.99M
- Markets traded
- 25,930
- Open portfolio
- $309.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded25,930
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration40.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.1kat 0.225Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.7kat 0.110Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$2.2kat 0.202Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$2.2kat 0.029Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- +$2.0kat 0.996Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 08:40 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $39.52 |
| 08-03 08:02 | Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.985 | $9.85 |
| 08-03 08:02 | Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.985 | $39.40 |
| 08-03 07:46 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 08-03 07:44 | Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.984 | $9.84 |
| 08-03 07:38 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or below on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 07:25 | Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.984 | $29.52 |
| 08-03 07:25 | Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.984 | $9.84 |
| 08-03 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 08-03 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 08-03 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.73 | $7.30 |
| 08-03 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.84 | $8.40 |
| 08-03 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 67°F or below on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 08-03 06:55 | Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.97952525 | $39.18 |
| 08-03 06:51 | Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $134.87 |