0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F
0x9495d622ab74a601ad1668d3dd4f7a2e68c3468f
- Realised P&L
- $-47.4k
- Volume
- $15.19M
- Markets traded
- 4,327
- Open portfolio
- $3.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,327
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration46.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.112Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
- +$2.1kat 0.075Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$1.8kat 0.031Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$1.6kat 0.230Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$960.40at 0.442Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 08:50 | Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7? | SELL | 0.7 | $14.00 |
| 08-03 08:50 | Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%? | SELL | 0.33 | $0.49 |
| 08-03 08:46 | Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.1013939394 | $6.69 |
| 08-03 08:15 | Will Rodri be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.65 |
| 08-03 07:07 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $55.19 |
| 08-03 06:26 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $3.00 on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.259 | $1.05 |
| 08-03 02:59 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.136 | $6.80 |
| 08-03 02:02 | Will "Beef" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.58 | $2.70 |
| 08-03 01:37 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%? | SELL | 0.77 | $2.46 |
| 08-03 01:15 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | SELL | 0.6659090909 | $14.65 |
| 08-02 20:45 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.75 | $19.54 |
| 08-02 19:20 | Will LOUD Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2 | SELL | 0.611 | $1.23 |
| 08-02 18:41 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $20.33 |
| 08-02 18:34 | Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.84 | $58.80 |
| 08-02 15:43 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.901 | $5.27 |