PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

xlefgerx

0x94e4639e9aef0eab61533ecafe74c5f15662534a

Realised P&L
$1.8k
Volume
$7.13M
Markets traded
509
Open portfolio
$4.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded509
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 17:32Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0036327147$16.07
07-29 16:56Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.025$103.23
07-08 01:44Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.03$6.67
07-01 23:15Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.014$3.60
06-26 15:15Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? SELL0.0430723562$10.22
06-21 18:34Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?BUY0.014$0.63
06-20 16:32Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.016$27.20
06-12 10:58Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?BUY0.055$19.36
06-12 10:36Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.05$0.50
06-07 20:18Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?BUY0.06$6.00
06-07 12:45Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?BUY0.002$0.20
06-07 12:43Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?BUY0.003$0.28
06-04 11:27Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.033$5.03
06-04 11:26Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.033$3.96
05-28 16:48Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.007$17.97