xlefgerx
0x94e4639e9aef0eab61533ecafe74c5f15662534a
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $7.13M
- Markets traded
- 509
- Open portfolio
- $4.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded509
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.018Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
- +$622.69at 0.269Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?
- +$484.98at 0.025Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$449.76at 0.006Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$394.48at 0.220Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 17:32 | Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0036327147 | $16.07 |
| 07-29 16:56 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.025 | $103.23 |
| 07-08 01:44 | Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $6.67 |
| 07-01 23:15 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.014 | $3.60 |
| 06-26 15:15 | Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? | SELL | 0.0430723562 | $10.22 |
| 06-21 18:34 | Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? | BUY | 0.014 | $0.63 |
| 06-20 16:32 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.016 | $27.20 |
| 06-12 10:58 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.055 | $19.36 |
| 06-12 10:36 | Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.50 |
| 06-07 20:18 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY | 0.06 | $6.00 |
| 06-07 12:45 | Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.20 |
| 06-07 12:43 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.28 |
| 06-04 11:27 | Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.033 | $5.03 |
| 06-04 11:26 | Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.033 | $3.96 |
| 05-28 16:48 | Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.007 | $17.97 |